Strickland ahead by 1 in new poll for Time and CNN
The day after one poll showed Republican John Kasich winning by 10 points, another survey shows Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland up by 1 point.
Welcome to the world of political polls in a volatile election year.
A new poll by Opinion Research Corp. for Time magazine and CNN has it Strickland 48, Kasich 47, well within the poll’s 3.5-point margin of sampling error.
That contrasts with yesterday’s Quinnipiac University poll showing Kasich with 51 percent, Strickland 41 percent. Kasich was ahead by 7 in an Opinion Research survey about a month ago.
"Strickland is still losing among men, but he gained six points among that group," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland in a release. "In September, his support among men was under 40 percent. Now it's at 45 percent. Strickland has 51 percent of the vote among women."
The Strickland campaign, which harshly criticized the Quinnipiac results, hailed today’s numbers.
The new poll also shows Republican Rob Portman ahead 55-40 over Democrat Lee Fisher in the U.S. Senate race.
Strickland benefits from a sample that has more Democratic likely voters than Republican, which enables the incumbent to overcome Kasich’s 9-point lead among independents.
Strickland is winning by more than a 2-to-1 margin among voters who consider themselves moderate. As is typical for a Democrat, Strickland also leads among the poorer, less educated and minority voters.
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. telephone poll of 863 likely Ohio voters was conducted Friday through Tuesday with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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